TESUJI picks
Josh Hokit versus Ciryl Gane: Hokit to win
56% Hokit · 44% Gane56%
Lean call
Capped at 85% by design
TESUJI reads56%From the fighters' numbers
Vegas, de-vigged30%Hokit +215
DisagreesThe line makes Gane the favorite; TESUJI has Hokit 25 points higher than the market does. Shown for comparison: the line is not an input to the pick.
Your pickFree account
Sign in to lock your pick and track your record against Fuseki.
Why: the drivers
Reachhow far they can hit fromHokit: 73.5"Gane: 81"Leans toward Gane.
Knockdown powerknockdowns / 15 minHokit: 1.50Gane: 0.33Leans toward Hokit.
Striking volumesig. strikes landed / minHokit: 10.3Gane: 5.4Leans toward Hokit.
Control timeshare of the fight controlledHokit: 28%Gane: 9%Leans toward Hokit.
Recent form (last 5)the last five fights · backgroundHokit: 4-0Gane: 3-1-1Leans toward Hokit.
Ageyears old · backgroundHokit: 28Gane: 36Leans toward Hokit.
Career recordshown for context, not part of the pickHokit: 10-0-0Gane: 14-2-0Shown for context; it does not move the pick.
UFC sampleshort on one sideHokit: 30′Gane: 182′Shown for context; it does not move the pick.
Hokit leads on knockdown power, with recent form (last 5) and age as background. Gane leads on reach.
Each bar leans toward the fighter that metric favors; its length is how hard the metric pulled, next to the strongest one here. The gold rows are not edges: they never push the pick toward either fighter. Rows marked background count toward the read, but they describe a fighter's past, not something a fight's own stats can show.
Under six fights on record for at least one fighter, so the engine pulls its read toward an even fight before the probability is formed.
Variable form: recent results swing between dominant and disastrous on at least one side, so the read is damped further toward an even fight.
Swept 4 + 14 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of