TESUJI picks
Jiří Procházka versus Navajo Stirling: Stirling to win
23% Procházka · 77% Stirling77%
Strong confidence
Capped at 85% by design
No line posted for this fight, so there's nothing to check the read against. The pick is unaffected: it comes from the fighters' own numbers either way.
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Why: the drivers
Times stopped (lower is better)by KO or TKO, of their UFC fightsProcházka: 33% (3 of 9)Stirling: 0% (0 of 6)Leans toward Stirling.
Finish rateof career winsProcházka: 100%Stirling: 50%Leans toward Procházka.
Striking vs defensestrikes they keep offProcházka: 45%Stirling: 59%Leans toward Stirling.
Knockdown powerknockdowns / 15 minProcházka: 0.81Stirling: 0.46Leans toward Procházka.
Recent form (last 5)the last five fights · backgroundProcházka: 3-2Stirling: 5-0Leans toward Stirling.
Ageyears old · backgroundProcházka: 34Stirling: 28Leans toward Stirling.
Career recordshown for context, not part of the pickProcházka: 32-6-1Stirling: 11-0-0Shown for context; it does not move the pick.
Stirling's only measurable edge here is durability, too little to make the case on its own.
Each bar leans toward the fighter that metric favors; its length is how hard the metric pulled, next to the strongest one here. The gold rows are not edges: they never push the pick toward either fighter. Rows marked background count toward the read, but they describe a fighter's past, not something a fight's own stats can show.
Variable form: recent results swing between dominant and disastrous on at least one side, so the read is damped further toward an even fight.
Swept 9 + 6 fightsFeeds: ESPN scoreboard · ESPN core · ESPN BET oddsAs of